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Oil price relative to its 5-year moving average and US recessions since 1965

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S&P 500 forward earnings yield & nominal 10-year treasury bond yield since 1979

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US and world ex-US stock market as a % of GDP since 1980

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Geopolitical conflicts have had minimal impact on long-term equity performance

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European (STOXX 600) PE ratio relative to US (S&P 500) since 1988

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Fed tightening periods: US bond and stock returns 1, 2, and 3 years following the start of Fed tightening

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Bonds have slumped the most since the financial crisis

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Percentage of all domestic equity funds underperforming the S&P composite 1500 on an absolute and risk-adjusted basis

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Global equity valuations since 1985 - PE10

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Fed rate cycles, 1958 to present

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